With Rory McIlroy and Victor Hovland atop the leaderboard at the 150th Open Championship after posting 66s on Saturday, the golf world is expected to head into Sunday’s final round. Golf Championship.

McIlroy snapped an eight-year drought at St. Andrews One of the best stories of the year in golfEspecially in terms of the way he played in this season’s main championship, he finished 10th. Gentlemen (2nd), PGA Championship (8th) and US Open (T5). A win for Hovland cements his place among golf’s stars, making it four winners under the age of 30 during the 2022 major championship.

But what if the winner of the Claret Jug doesn’t come from the final combination? What if someone makes a low-number payment and both of our colleagues return to the pack? Who has the best chance of catching Mylroy and Hovland on Sunday?

Historically, the record for most comebacks in the final round at The Open is held by Paul Lawrie, who came back from 10 shots to make it a three-man match and eventually win. But McIlroy and/or Hovland look unlikely to take a three-shot lead on the 18th hole like Jean van de Velde did at Carnoustie. The most recent and concrete examples of notable final-round comebacks at The Open include Padraig Harrington winning by six strokes in 2007, Ernie Ells in 2012 by six strokes and Phil Mickelson by five in 2013.

But none of them were at St. Andrews. In each of the 72-hole editions at St Andrews, the winner was within four shots of his lead going into the final, having held the Claret Jug 22 times; Like Justin Ray. As such, here are the five contenders who could take the lead for the 150th slot on Sunday. Luck through Caesar’s Sportsbook

Cameron Smith (-12) After two days of almost everything on the green, Smith wasn’t rolling with the same consistency as the 54-hole leader of the Championship on Saturday. Although he wasn’t making many birdies, Smith held the round together until a double-bogey on No. 13. Those mistakes and misses didn’t cost him many spots on the leaderboard, but the two strokes did. They put themselves in a much better position to catch the leaders. Realistically, not only should he shoot somewhere around 65 or 66, but he’ll have to hope that neither McIlroy nor Hovland score in the 60s. Odds: 11-1

Cameron Young (-12) One of the PGA Tour’s hottest rookies put in impressive performances in his Open debut, including a 1-under 71 with two bogeys and a double bogey at the final par. After a 64 on Thursday, a 69 on Friday and a 71 on Saturday, it would be amazing to see him reverse the trend and return to that early-tournament form. But things aren’t often like that, especially with players early in their careers. Odds: 25-1

Scotty Scheffler (-11)The reigning Masters champion shot a strong 3-under 69 to move up one spot on the leaderboard and move closer to contending for a second major championship this 2022 season. Scheffler had his best day of the tournament so far when it came to hitting approach shots on these Old Course greens, and making five birdies on the day paid off. Scheffler’s top floor is thought to be a possible 68 or 69 on Sunday, but that score would still leave the Clarets unable to raise the jug unless Rory and Hovland shoot in comparison. Si Woo Kim has been with Scheffler for 11 years, but has never had a top 10 finish in 22 major starts. Odds: 20-1

Dustin Johnson (-10): With the length to drive the greens on the short-4s and the ability to slow it down, St. Andrews looks set up well for Johnson to win his third major championship. Unfortunately, those efforts didn’t cut it, as DJ had as many bogeys on the last six holes (three) as he did on the first two rounds on Saturday afternoon. He has the potential to go very low on Sunday, but the way he was battered by the Old Course’s hills and bunkers late in the third round doesn’t bode well for a great comeback. Odds: 50-1

2022 Open Championship final chance selections

Kyle Porter, senior golf writer: There are countless reasons why McIlroy could win his 150th Open. He did an incredible job of not letting himself get carried away with emotion in an especially emotional week. His game has been fine tuned for years and he is hitting the points to prove it. St. Andrews is a magical place, and it’s unlikely that Rory walked off the podium the same week Tiger Woods had two of the greatest victories in golf history at this course. Pick: Rory McIlroy (10/11)

Chip Patterson, writer There’s no reason to think so: even the data says there’s a better than 50% chance McIlroy will break the chasing pack ahead of Hovland on Sunday. It’s time for the confident analytical process he’s shown all week, and a next-generation talent to be rewarded with yet another top spot in the Hall of Fame. McIlroy has never finished in the top 10 of all four majors in a season, and not only that, but he’s set to break an eight-year drought at St Andrews. Pick: Rory McIlroy (10/11)

Patrick McDonald, golf writer McIlroy is riding a fast wave, and it’s as if he can do no wrong on the Old Course. Throwback to 2014, this week was often played with a perfect mix of aggression and discipline. Eight years later, he will once again hoist the Claret Jug and join Seve Ballesteros and Byron Nelson as five-time major champions. Pick: Rory McIlroy (10/11)

Kyle Boone, writer How far back is too far? It’s five strokes – in these conditions, on this course, with This Star-studded leaderboard — too much? No winner of the Open at St. Andrews won by four shots over the 54-hole mark, Justin Ray said. In relation to Scheffler, however, it seems somehow plausible. After seeing Justin Thomas dig himself from a seven-stroke hole entering Round 4 at the PGA Championship in May, Scheffler looked unlikely to charge Clarett to take the Jug on Sunday. He’s played well all week, ranks second in home runs and has the stuff to put on a big rally if the innings starts to roll. Pick: Scottie Scheffler (20-1)

Adam Silverstein, Editor-in-Chief: Not that he stopped winning, but McIlroy struggled to play well in the majors. Since 2014, he has 16 top 10s in 30 such opportunities, three of which have come this year alone. The problem is that McIlroy often starts slow or loses 1 point in a low round, often coming through the back door. That’s not the case this week as McIlroy has been consistent with scores of 66-68-66 through the first three rounds. Rory has the equivalent of home-course advantage at St. Andrews — the crowd is emotionally invested in him — but he’s been able to block it out and play calm, smart golf. What better way to end an eight-year drought than to win the 150th race? Pick: Rory McIlroy (10/11)

Rick Gehman and Greg Ducharme look to the oddboard heading into Sunday at the Open Championship. Tune in and listen to the first cut Apple Podcasts And Spotify.

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