2024 Super Bowl expert picks: 58 bets on Super Bowl 58, Chiefs-49ers player tip, Taylor Swift highlights

Super Bowl LVIII is only two days away, so get ready. The NFL Championship Game is one of the busiest events on the sports calendar, and it’s expected to stay that way, especially since this year’s game is taking place in the betting capital of the world, Las Vegas.

On top of your standard game-specific bets, sportsbooks often offer bets that have little (or nothing) to do with the actual competition, allowing everyone to get in on the action. If you want to place a bet or two for this game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs, let us help you out.

Below are 58 total bets for Super Bowl LVIII, including some picks from our CBS Sports staff, novelty bets, player suggestions and more.

(Super Bowl LVIII will air on CBS and Nickelodeon and you can stream it Paramount+; (Here’s how to watch.)

CBS Sports staff proposal

Jared Dubin: 49ers win first half, Chiefs win game (+525, Caesars). “The Chiefs haven’t led at halftime in any of their three Super Bowl games this season (tied with the Niners and trailing both the Bucks and Eagles), so if you think the Chiefs are going to win, this is a better bet. Just taking the money line.”

Eric Kernish: Team to score longest touchdown: 49ers (-142, FanDuel). “The San Francisco 49ers are all about increasing yards after the catch, so they’re the only ones to pick for this proposition. Expect that to happen in the first half … before Kyle Shanahan’s team is gone. The last stretch.”

Jordan Dajani: Field goal game (via Caesars): Both the KC field goal and the SF field goal for the first scoring play are listed at +360. If you play, say, $ 20 on each option and hit one, you make $ 52 total.

Josh Edwards: Christian McCaffrey’s first touchdown pass (+360, DraftKings). San Francisco scored touchdowns on more than half of their first drives this season (10 of 19), while Kansas City scored touchdowns on just 25% of their opening drives. Christian McCaffrey has scored a point in 13 of the 49ers’ 18 games this season.

Shana McCarriston: Will the last play of the game be the QB’s knee? Yes (+200, FanDuel). The Super Bowl is a battle between the two best teams in the league, so in theory it should be a close game. Often times the game comes down to the wire, with the last attempts to go down the field or a field goal to win it all. It will be interesting to wonder if the game will end in victory or if it will come down to the last second. I think we are getting some value on our energy.

Tyler Sullivan: Travis Kelce to win Super Bowl MVP (+1200, DraftKings). I’m a good storyteller. If Kelce can repeat what he’s done with major wins in the last two rounds, Taylor Swift and her latest Grammy will be watching as he hoists the Lombardi Trophy as MVP. Kind of feels like how this season should end.

John Brecht: Total number of passes thrown by players: Over 2.5 (+160 on FanDuel). This is very simple; If you think a player other than the two quarterbacks will throw a pass, you play this prop. The pass doesn’t even have to be complete, just a throw. I think we’ll see at least one trick play and this proposal will be a hit. And even if we don’t see a trick play, this prop could leave the backup QB to pass if one of the quarterbacks takes a big hit and leaves the game for a run or two.

Super Bowl novelty bets

1. Coin Toss: Tails (+100, DraftKings) The coin toss has come up tails in 30 of the 57 Super Bowls. They say the tail never falls.
2. Does it try a two-point conversion? Yes (+128, FanDuel).
3. Final team score to win the game: Yes (-245, FanDuel). Not a lucrative number, but this prop has been hit in 10 straight Super Bowls and 17 of the past 18.
4. Jersey Number First Touch Score: Over 22.5 (-115, DraftKings). This includes players like Christian McCaffrey, Travis Kelce and George Kittle.
5. Shortest touchdown scored: Under 1.5 yards (-170, FanDuel). He’s had a one-yard touchdown in four straight Super Bowls and seven of the past eight.

Player support

1. Nick Bosa to have 2+ sacks (+350, DraftKings).: This was actually one of the first five early bold predictions for the Super Bowl. Bosa recorded 10 sacks in 11 playoff games, and had one pass to Patrick Mahomes in the last Super Bowl meeting. This year in 2023, he will face off against Jawan Taylor, who leads the league in penalties. Bosa had two sacks in the NFC Championship game against the Lions.
2. Travis Kelce 20+ First Quarter Receiving Yards (-110, DraftKings): Kelce recorded 42 receiving yards and a touchdown in the first quarter against the Ravens. He only had 15 yards in one game against Buffalo, but that was because the defense couldn’t get off the field. I think this is a strong bet.
3. Brock Purdy Total Pass Completions: Under 20.5 (-105, Caesars). He has hit five in the last seven games, including the NFC championship.
4. Brock Purdy Total Pass Attempts: Under 31.5 (-140, Caesars). He’s hit in 13 of his last 15 games, including the NFC Championship.
5. Brock Purdy Total Passing Yards: Over 247.5 (-115, Caesars). The over has been hit in both playoff games this season.
6. Brock Purdy Total Passing Touchdowns: Under 1.5 (-105, Caesars). Below is a hit in four consecutive playoff games.
7. Patrick Mahomes Total Completions: Under 25.5 (-125, Caesars). They have won four of their last six playoff games.
8. Patrick Mahomes Total Pass Attempts: 36.5 over (-110, Caesars). Over has a hit in eight of his last 11 playoff games.
9. Patrick Mahomes Total Passing Yards: Under 260.5 (-115, Caesars). He has won two of the Chiefs’ three playoff games this postseason. The 49ers have allowed 260 passing yards or less in five straight games.
10. Patrick Mahomes Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.5 (-160, Caesars). They have won seven of their last nine playoff games.
11. Patrick Mahomes Total Rushing Yards: 26.5 over (-110, Caesars). He was hit in all three of Mahomes’ Super Bowl games.
12. Patrick Mahomes Total Steals: Over 0.5 (-110, Caesars). Mahomes has thrown four interceptions in three Super Bowl games, including two against the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV. San Francisco has forced fumbles in six of their seven Super Bowl games.
13. Christian McCaffrey Total Rush Attempts: Under 18.5 (+100, DraftKings). Under McCaffrey has won five of his six playoff games.
14. Christian McCaffrey Total Rushing Yards: Under 90.5 (-115, DraftKings). He had hits in three of McCaffrey’s last four playoff games. The Chiefs haven’t allowed a 90-yard rusher in 15 straight playoff games.
15. Christian McCaffrey scores two total touchdowns: Yes (+245, DraftKings). McCaffrey had multiple hits in both playoff games this season.
16. Christian McCaffrey’s overall reception: Over 4.5 (-135, Caesars). McCaffrey has averaged 5.3 receptions over the past four playoff games.
17. Isiah Pacheco Total Rush Attempts: Over 15.5 (-130, DraftKings). Pacheco has 24 rushing attempts in two of his last three playoff games.
18. Isiah Pacheco Total Rushing Yards: Over 65.5 (-125, DraftKings). Pacheco has surpassed that number in all but one of his six career playoff games.
19. Isiah Pacheco Total Receiving Yards: Under 16.5 (-114, DraftKings). The Under has won four straight playoff games and five of Pacheco’s six career playoff games.
20. Isiah Pacheco All-Time Touchdown Scorer: Yes (-120, DraftKings). He has scored in seven consecutive games.
21. Debo Samuel’s Reception Total: Under 4.5 (-110, Caesars). He had a hit in eight of 11 playoff games.
22. Brandon Ayuck Total Reception: Under 4.5 (-145, Caesars). The Under has won its last seven playoff games.
23. Brandon Ayuck Total Receiving Yards. Below 62.5 (-115, Caesar). Ayuk has averaged 43 receiving yards in eight career playoff games.
24. Rashee Rice Total Reception: Over 6.5 (-105, Caesars). They have won two of their three playoff games this season.
25. Rashee Rice Total Receiving Yards: Under 66.5 (+100, Caesars). He has hit two of the three playoff games this season.
26. Marquez Valdes-Scantling Total Reception: Over 1.5 (-120, Caesars). Overs have been hit in each of the last two playoff games.
27. Marquez Valdez-Scantling Total Receiving Yards: 19.5 over (-130, Caesars). Overs have been hit in each of the last two playoff games.
28. George Kittle’s overall reception: Under 3.5 (+115, Caesars). Kittle has gone under that number in seven of his 11 career playoff games.
29. Travis Kelce Total Reception: Over 6.5 (-140, Caesars). The Overs have won six of their last eight playoff games at Kelsey.
30. Travis Kelce all-time leading touchdown scorer: Yes (+100, FanDuel). Kelce has scored in eight of his last nine playoff games.

Total

1. Under 47.5 (-105, FanDuel): Under is 28-28 all-time, but he’s hit in four of his five Super Bowls.
2. Kansas City Chiefs Total Points: Over 23.5 (-115, Caesars).
3. San Francisco 49ers total points: under 24.5 (-125, Caesar). The Chiefs have allowed just 16.8 points per game this season. Only one team (Packers, Week 13) has scored 25 or more points against this defense all year.

Taylor Swift-themed props

1. Shake: 49 runs scored, Chiefs win (+350, DraftKings) This follows the script of the game last year, the 49ers went up 3-0 in the first quarter, but the Chiefs won 31-20 and took the lead in the fourth quarter.
2. Today was a fairytale: Kelce scores TD to beat Chiefs (+240, DraftKings): Kelce has scored in eight of his last nine playoff games. This is a good bet if the Chiefs win.
3. Anti-Hero: Brook Purdy 250+ passing yards and 2+ passing touchdowns (+200, DraftKings). Purdy has hit this pitch in six of his 16 regular season starts and zero in the two playoff games this season.
4. Mine: Travis Kelce to record 87+ receiving yards (yes +190, DraftKings). Kelsey hit that streak in four regular season games and just one in three playoff games in Kansas City.
5. Look what you did to me: The Chiefs trailed in the fourth quarter and won the game (+500, DraftKings). When these teams met in Super Bowl LIV, Kansas City won the game when the 49ers led by 10 points in the fourth quarter. Can history repeat itself?

Long shots

1. Will the final score be Scorigami? Yes +2500 (FanDuel). In case you didn’t know, Scorigami was previously written by A NFL Game. It’s a very long shot.
2. First Touchdown Position: Quarterback +1000 (FanDuel). The QB scored the first touchdown in two of the first three Super Bowl games.
3. Super Bowl MVP: Any defender +1100 (FanDuel). A defensive player has won the Super Bowl MVP in 10 of the 57 Super Bowls prior. His last defensive tackle was Von Miller (Super Bowl 50).
4. Super Bowl MVP to be on losing team: Yes +3900 (FanDuel). This is not a worthwhile bet, but it has happened once before. Chuck Hawley (Super Bowl V) is the only player to win Super Bowl MVP while on the losing side of the game.
5. Correct score prediction: KC 24 SF 20 (+15000, BetMGM).
6. Will there be overtime? Yes (+900, Caesar). There has only been one overtime game in Super Bowl history (Super Bowl LI).
7. Isiah Pacheco Option Rushing Yards: 100+ yards (+425, DraftKings). Since the 1966 Green Bay Packers, the 49ers have allowed the most points per game (159.0) going into the Super Bowl.
8. Debo Samuels to finish with one rush and one touchdown: Yes (+3000, FanDuel). Samuels hit this feat twice during the regular season.