Last week I went 5-6 against the spread, dropping me to one under .500 for the season.

The good: Picking Tennessee to cover Pitt. The bad: Picking Alabama to destroy Texas. The ugly: Picking A&M to beat App State.

Here are this week’s predictions.

(All point spreads come from BetMGM; Click here (For live odds, all Eastern prime times.)

State of Florida (-3) b LouisvilleFriday, 7:30 p.m. (ESPN)

The Seminoles had time off to refocus after their road win LSU And get ready to catch a better runner Jayden Daniels By Malik Cunningham. Expect FSU to give Louisville enough problems with Jared Vers and company getting plenty of pressure.

FSU 27, Louisville 24

Select: Florida State -3

Number 1 Georgia (-24.5) at South Carolina, noon (ESPN)

That’s a big number for an SEC team to cover on the road. Spencer Rattler Off to a shaky start (2 TDs, 3 INTs). My hunch is he’ll make a few plays and keep the Gamecocks defense close.

Georgia 34, South Carolina 14

Select: South Carolina +24.5

Number 6 Oklahoma (-10.5) at Nebraska, noon (Fox)

I expect the Huskers to respond well to the coaching change. Mickey Joseph brings a little more organization, and some of the pressure around the program is distributed. It wouldn’t shock me if the Huskers pull off the upset straight away.

Oklahoma 35, Nebraska 34

Select: Nebraska +10.5

Number 12 BYU at No. 25 Oregon (-3.5), 3:30 p.m. (FOX)

of Cougars He looked good in protest. Bayer And it can withstand difficult road environment. I think Duck They are still doing the tricks and trying to find an identity.

BYU 35, Oregon 30

Select: BYU +3.5

Number 22 Penn State (-3) b Auburn3:30 p.m. (CBS)

The Tigers have enough athletes who can really run to slow down the Nittany Lions’ impressive stable of young backs, but I think defensive coordinator Manny Diaz and a good PSU secondary will cause a few big mistakes from Auburn’s quarterback. TJ FinleyHas one touchdown pass and three picks so far.

Penn State 20, Auburn 13

Select: Penn State -3

Mississippi State (-2.5) at LSU, 6pm (ESPN)

It’s unusual to see the Tigers as the home crowd against an unranked team, but here we are. I think Mississippi State has a more defined identity now than LSU, and I expect. Will Rogers To keep the tigers on their heels. He is playing with a lot of confidence now.

Mississippi State 34, LSU 27

Select: Mississippi State -2.5

Texas Tech at No. 16 NC State (-10), 7 p.m. (ESPN2)

I like what I’ve seen from the young Texas Tech quarterback Donovan Smith So far, however, NC State has a top-15 pass defense. I think Wolfpack It will give the young QB some headaches in a difficult road position.

NC State 31, Texas Tech 24

Select: Texas Tech +10

Number 11 Michigan State as if Washington (-3.5), 7:30 p.m. (ABC)

This looks like a coming out party for Callen DeBoer. It’s going on in Washington. Husky Stadium can be loud, and ex Indiana quarter time Michael Pennix Jr It’s playing right in this system. If the Huskies can protect him well enough, I think they will win with a very good coach and a well-balanced team.

Washington 24, Michigan State 23

Select: Michigan State +3.5

This week’s upset special: SMU at Maryland (-3), 7:30 p.m. (FS1)

Tanner Mordecai So far so good, and the Terps are hanging on a bit in the secondary. I think they miss a prominent corner. Tarheeb still A lot on Mustangs.

SMU 40, Maryland 35

Select: SMU +3

(Photo: Stephen Brashear / USA Today)

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